Down 2-0 in this Western Conference Final, the Mavericks return home in must-win mode. That means a slower-paced game and tremendous defensive intensity from the Mavericks.

Dallas has gone Under 72 percent of the time during its last 55 home games. The Under has cashed in five of the Mavericks' six home playoff games.

Golden State shot 55 percent from the field in Game 2. The Warriors also made 14 of 28 3-point shots. I don't see Golden State shooting anywhere close to that in Dallas. The Mavericks gave up the second-fewest points in the NBA and ranked fourth in 3-point defense.

Stephen Curry gets a lot of headlines. The Warriors, though, are a tremendous defensive team, too. They ranked in the top three in fewest points allowed, defensive field goal percentage and 3-point defense.