NCAAF - Money Line - If you have access to it the best way to play this one is the money line as it is offering great line value. Not only has the spread moved on this game from a 3.5 to a 2.5 but, using Pinnacle as an example, the price is only 20 cents more than the -2.5 -115 on the side to take the money line at -135. The simulation report is all about value and based on plugging the values in, the recommendation here is the money line if you can play this one that way. Part of the reasoning is that the last time these two teams met in Stillwater, OK the Cyclones did prevail but Oklahoma State had won 7 of 8 prior meetings SU as a host. As a Big 12 home favorite, the Cowboys are on a 4-1 ATS run. Iowa State is simply over-valued here because everyone remembers their upset of Oklahoma earlier this season but don't forget they also lost to UL Lafayette as a double digit favorite this season. While these offenses rate about equal, the defense is where the difference is as the Cyclones allowed 30 points or more in their first 3 games and then caught Texas Tech in a tough spot which is why they held them down. On the other hand, the Cowboys are allowing an average of only 9 points per game! Big difference and, per the simulation report, the home team gets it done in this one. Play OKLAHOMA STATE money line