MLB - The Padres Chris Paddack is having a down season and his strikeouts are down recently as well. The A's James Kaprielian has been registering plenty of strikeouts of late and has a 1.50 ERA his last 3 starts and a 2.65 ERA on the season. The value here, per the simulation report, is with Oakland on the run line at +1.5 runs. The Athletics are only 10-13 last 23 games but 10 of those 13 losses were by just a single run. That means if you had the A's at +1.5 in each of their last 23 games, your bets went 20-3! Just 3 losses by more than a single run in the last 23 games for the road team in this one. Per the simulation report, high probability for an upset here but at worst, just a one-run loss expected. Play OAKLAND +1.5 runs