Indy/Pitt Over 38.5 - think we'll see more scoring here than most expect ... the Steelers just allowed 37 points so even though Watt is back this defense still has issues for sure ... in most recent road game Pittsburgh allowed 35 points ... Steelers have averaged 25 points scored last two games so this looks like a high-scoring loss for them ... Indianapolis has covered 6 of 9 when favored at home and facing a team that is not from their division ... Colts improving after coaching change from Reich to Saturday and they almost beat 1-loss Eagles last week and beat the Raiders the week before ... so there will be points here in a high-scoring home win ... Over for NFL Best Bet