#903 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* San Diego -130 over Arizona, Wednesday at 3:40 PM ET - San Diego just swept Arizona last week at home in a 3 games series outscoring the DBacks 17-7. In last night’s game, the Padres led 6-0 entering the bottom of the 7th and Arizona rallied very late for a 7-6 win vs a normally solid San Diego bullpen. We expect the much better team to bounce back this afternoon with a win. The Padres are 14 games above .500 and have the 3rd best run differential in the N.L. at +63. They are also 24-15 on the road this season. Arizona is 7 games below .500 and they have a run differential of -47, 6th worst in the N.L. The DBacks have a losing home record and are getting outscored 4.5-3.9 per game at Chase Field. Arizona starter Bumgarner has an ERA of 3.72 but hasn’t pitched as well as that might indicate with an xERA of 4.67 and an xFIP of 4.75. San Diego has been much better vs lefties compared to right handers this season especially on the road where they average almost 6 RPG vs south paws. They faced Bumgarner at home last week and put up 6 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings in a 10-4 win. Clevinger gets the start for the Padres and he’s been solid as a stater allowing just 4 ER’s in his 4 starts this year. That includes a game vs Arizona last week in which he allowed 1 ER in 4 innings of work. We look for Clevinger to go 4 or 5 innings and then San Diego’s bullpen (top 10 in ERA and #1 in MLB in WHIP) takes over with a chance to redeem themselves after last night’s debacle. We’ll take the much better team in a bounce back spot at a fairly low money line number.