White Sox (Rodon) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:10 PM ET
Game# 927-928
Play On: Brewers -122 (10*)

This is an excellent starting pitcher matchup. However, you may be shocked to know, dating back to last season, the White Sox have gone 0-20 (-3.7 RPG) in their last 20 as an underdog of +106 or greater, and that includes 0-14 this year. The White Sox Carolos Rodon has been terrific on the road this season. Nevertheless, it’s highly likely he will need to rely on his bullpen at some point, and that’s not good news since White Sox relievers have a large 7.94 ERA throughout its previous 7 games.

Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes is a vastly underrated pitcher and much has to do with where he plays. Burnes has been in sensational form through his last 4 starts while posting a 0.99 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has been solid of late.

Any MLB home team (Brewers) with a money line of between -135 and +115, versus an American League opponent (White Sox) who has a team batting average of .255 or worse, and they scored 2 runs or fewer during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 70-21 (76.9%) since 2017. This exact betting situation has come up 16 times this season and the home teams went an extremely profitable 13-3. Bet on the Brewers as a 10* Top Play money line wager.