AAA's X-Mas Day 3-GM Report (+$46,508 NBA RUN!)
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Miami, 12/25/2015 7:00 AM, Score: 88 - 94
Total: 200.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Miami Heat.

When the smoke clears at the end of this one, we look for this total to stay below the posted number. New Orleans is averaging 122.5 points and 52.1 percent shooting in its last two games, but now faces one of the most defensive minded clubs in the league. The Pelicans have been horrible defensively this season, but they enter this one off their best performance of the year in a 115-89 beatdown of Portland on Wednesday, setting a season low in points allowed and shooting (34.7 percent). The Pelicans have enjoyed plenty of success against the Heat in the past, but note that they've averaged just 90 points and shot 42.8 percent while going 0-4 against the East on the road this season. Miami is 4-0 at home all time on Christmas Day, but comes into this one having dropped two of three during a four-game home stretch. The Heat allow the second-fewest points per game and fourth-lowest overall field goal percentage and will be eager to bounce back after a tough 93-92 setback to the Bucks on Tuesday. Miami's weakness has clearly been on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 25th in 3-point shooting, it was just 4 of 18 from behind the arc on Tuesday. Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of 16 on the road this year, in six of nine non-conference contests and in six of eight after scoring 105 points or more, while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of seven this season off an upset loss as a favorite and in six of nine non-conference games. Play on the UNDER.

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