PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SUPER EARLY Wednesday Birmingham Bowl BLOWOUT!
(NCAAF) Auburn vs. Memphis,
12/30/2015 7:00 AM, Score: 31 - 10
Point Spread: -3.00 | -114.00 Auburn (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -3.00 | -114.00 Auburn (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Auburn.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics, as well as some late line movement: Auburn opened as a -2.5 point favorite and has been steadily climbing, we got in at -3 and as of writing, the line has now moved to -4.5; regardless, we think the value is definitely still on the Tigers, and note that they have in fact performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-2 ATS in their last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while Memphis is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a win vs. a conference rival. Lay the short points on AUBURN.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics, as well as some late line movement: Auburn opened as a -2.5 point favorite and has been steadily climbing, we got in at -3 and as of writing, the line has now moved to -4.5; regardless, we think the value is definitely still on the Tigers, and note that they have in fact performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-2 ATS in their last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while Memphis is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a win vs. a conference rival. Lay the short points on AUBURN.
AAA Sports
