AAA's 10* New Years Day Fiesta Bowl BLOCKBUSTER (Notre Dame/Ohio State!)
(NCAAF) Notre Dame vs. Ohio State, 01/01/2016 8:00 AM, Score: 28 - 44
Point Spread: -6.50 | -106.00 Ohio State (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

- Note that Ohio State Coach Urban Meyer is an amazing 42-3 with more then a week to prepare for an opponent and is 9-2 in bowl games, including last season's victory over Alabama and Oregon to take the first College Football Playoff title.

- Note that Ohio State junior Ezekiel Elliot has already said he's going to the NFL early, so here is his final chance to prove himself. He'll also be especially motivated after getting busted driving the other day without a licence.

- Ohio State's defense is awesome, it's second nationally in scoring defense in giving up just 14 points per game and over the last six games that's gone down to an average of just 10.7, which is lowest in the country over that span.

- Notre Dame has significant injuries, including to its starting QB Malike Zaire and RB Tarean Folston.

- The Irish are ranked No. 99 nationally in turnover margin with just 13 takeaways and 18 turnovers.

The Bottom Line: We think that Ohio State's 42-13 victory over Michigan a week after its chances of defending its national title were ended proves that the Buckeyes have not given up on this season. Notre Dame's injury issues finally catch up to it here.

Play on OHIO STATE.