PREMIUM
AAA's VERY EARLY SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - 366 -274 +$22,203 NHL RUN!
(NHL) Detroit vs. Buffalo,
01/02/2016 8:00 AM, Score: 4 - 3
Money Line: -116.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Win
Money Line: -116.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Detroit Red Wings.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- Both teams are struggling, and each is dealing with injury issues. We'll call this area a "wash." These teams have split a pair of games this year, so it's the Red Wings that play with revenge today after falling 2-1 at home in a shootout to the Sabres on December 14th.
- Note that Detroit is already 3-1 (+2.4 units) this season after three or more consecutive losses.
- And note that Buffalo is just 2-4 (-1.8 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: Detroit is 30-24 (+2.8 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Buffalo is 20-61 (-29.3 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest.
In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." Play on DETROIT.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- Both teams are struggling, and each is dealing with injury issues. We'll call this area a "wash." These teams have split a pair of games this year, so it's the Red Wings that play with revenge today after falling 2-1 at home in a shootout to the Sabres on December 14th.
- Note that Detroit is already 3-1 (+2.4 units) this season after three or more consecutive losses.
- And note that Buffalo is just 2-4 (-1.8 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses.
The bottom line: Detroit is 30-24 (+2.8 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Buffalo is 20-61 (-29.3 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest.
In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." Play on DETROIT.
AAA Sports
