AAA's VERY EARLY REVENGE ROUT!
(NCAAB) Penn State vs. Michigan, 01/02/2016 7:00 AM, Score: 56 - 79
Point Spread: 11.00 | -110.00 Penn State (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* REVENGE ROUT on Penn State.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:

- Note that the Nittany Lions would give Maryland everything it could handle at the Xfinity Center on Wednesday, only a 39 point effort from Terp Diamond Stone saved the nation's fourth-ranked team. Suffice it to say, Pat Chambers' team will now be looking to make another tournament hopeful sweat today.

- Michigan and Maryland are in fact very similar in regards to the schemes they run, and note that the Lions would hold the Terps to just 5 of 21 shooting from three-point range.

- It's true the Wolverines are extremely disciplined on offense, they've turned the ball over on just 14.5% of their possessions, but the goods news for us today is that the Nittany Lions haven't needed to force many turnovers to be successful on the defensive end of the floor, Maryland turned the ball over just nine times in a 64-possession game, but was held well under its season numbers on offense.

- Note that Michigan is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, while Penn State is 22-17 its last 39 when playing the role of underdog.

Grab as many points as you can with PENN STATE.

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