PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GM PRO HOOPS PASS *392-313 +$47,538 NBA RUN!*
(NBA) Dallas vs. New Orleans,
01/06/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 100 - 91
Total: 205.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 205.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Dallas Mavericks and the New Orleans Pelicans.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Recent history: Dallas is coming off a huge 117-116 double OT victory over Sacramento just last night and we think will be looking to carry that momentum over here and to get revenge after falling 105-98 to New Orleans at home on Saturday. Anthony Davis had 31 points and 14 boards for the Pelicans in that one. New Orleans will be looking to take advantage, it's had three whole days off to prepare.
Consistent play from game to game: If you think the Mavs will have a letdown here, think again, they've been very effective on the second game of a back-to-back this season, going 5-3 SU thus far.
Motivation: Despite a brutal start to the year, New Orleans is getting healthier and the team is still looking to make a legitimate playoff push: "We've got to start making a move right now," head coach Alvin Gentry assessed last night.
Strong and relevant Over/Under ATS statistics: Note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent and in four of five as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while New Orleans has seen the total sail above the posted number in two of three this season after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs and in two of three as a home fav of 3.5 to six points.
The bottom line: We believe there are enough indicators that all point to a faster paced shootout, the savvy move is indeed on the OVER.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Recent history: Dallas is coming off a huge 117-116 double OT victory over Sacramento just last night and we think will be looking to carry that momentum over here and to get revenge after falling 105-98 to New Orleans at home on Saturday. Anthony Davis had 31 points and 14 boards for the Pelicans in that one. New Orleans will be looking to take advantage, it's had three whole days off to prepare.
Consistent play from game to game: If you think the Mavs will have a letdown here, think again, they've been very effective on the second game of a back-to-back this season, going 5-3 SU thus far.
Motivation: Despite a brutal start to the year, New Orleans is getting healthier and the team is still looking to make a legitimate playoff push: "We've got to start making a move right now," head coach Alvin Gentry assessed last night.
Strong and relevant Over/Under ATS statistics: Note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent and in four of five as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while New Orleans has seen the total sail above the posted number in two of three this season after playing to three or more consecutive UNDERs and in two of three as a home fav of 3.5 to six points.
The bottom line: We believe there are enough indicators that all point to a faster paced shootout, the savvy move is indeed on the OVER.
AAA Sports
