PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GM PRO HOOPS PASS *392-313 +$47,538 NBA RUN!*
(NBA) Denver vs. Minnesota,
01/06/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 78 - 74
Total: 204.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 204.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: Each team comes in off lengthy losing streaks, both will be risking life and limb in trying to secure a victory today and we believe this focus and determination will translate into a "chippier" game, lots of fouling, a slower overall pace which invariably leads to a lot of half court sets on offense. And a slower paced game = less shots and less shots = less points (note that Minnesota has lost 15 of 19 and Denver 18 of 24).
Horrible offensive play: Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency throughout their losing stretches, especially Minnesota which has been held under 100 points in every game during a 1-7 slide.
Strong and relevant Over/Under ATS statistics: Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four this year after playing to three or more consecutive OVERs and in five of nine after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 17 after allowing 105 points or more and in 11 of 18 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: As mentioned off the top, we're expecting each to focus on the defensive end of the floor as they both try and break out of a slump; play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: Each team comes in off lengthy losing streaks, both will be risking life and limb in trying to secure a victory today and we believe this focus and determination will translate into a "chippier" game, lots of fouling, a slower overall pace which invariably leads to a lot of half court sets on offense. And a slower paced game = less shots and less shots = less points (note that Minnesota has lost 15 of 19 and Denver 18 of 24).
Horrible offensive play: Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency throughout their losing stretches, especially Minnesota which has been held under 100 points in every game during a 1-7 slide.
Strong and relevant Over/Under ATS statistics: Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four this year after playing to three or more consecutive OVERs and in five of nine after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 17 after allowing 105 points or more and in 11 of 18 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: As mentioned off the top, we're expecting each to focus on the defensive end of the floor as they both try and break out of a slump; play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
