PREMIUM
AAA's 10* CONFERENCE USA BLOCKBUSTER!
(NCAAB) Florida Atlantic vs. Marshall,
01/07/2016 2:00 PM, Score: 67 - 90
Point Spread: 10.00 | -106.00 Florida Atlantic (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 10.00 | -106.00 Florida Atlantic (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida Atlantic.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: The Owls will be playing with desperation today as they look to try and break a seven-game slide. FAU is just 1-7 on the road this year, but did pick up a quality 75-69 victory at Miami (Ohio) on November 21st. Not surprisingly either, the Owls play with revenge after dropping the last contest between the team's, a 79-63 setback on February 28th, 2015.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Florida Atlantic is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog in the 9 to 12 points range and 7-5 ATS in its last 12 vs. good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Marshall is a poor 2-3 ATS at home already this season, just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 vs. teams with losing records, only 7-8 ATS in its last 15 after scoring 80 points or more and a pathetic 16-22 ATS in its last 38 vs. conference opponents.
The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation, while we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do definitely feel there are enough situational and motivational factors working in favor of the visitors today and look for them to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe; grab as many points as you can with FLORIDA ATLANTIC.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: The Owls will be playing with desperation today as they look to try and break a seven-game slide. FAU is just 1-7 on the road this year, but did pick up a quality 75-69 victory at Miami (Ohio) on November 21st. Not surprisingly either, the Owls play with revenge after dropping the last contest between the team's, a 79-63 setback on February 28th, 2015.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Florida Atlantic is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a road dog in the 9 to 12 points range and 7-5 ATS in its last 12 vs. good offensive teams which average 77-plus points per contest, while Marshall is a poor 2-3 ATS at home already this season, just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 vs. teams with losing records, only 7-8 ATS in its last 15 after scoring 80 points or more and a pathetic 16-22 ATS in its last 38 vs. conference opponents.
The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation, while we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do definitely feel there are enough situational and motivational factors working in favor of the visitors today and look for them to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe; grab as many points as you can with FLORIDA ATLANTIC.
AAA Sports
