PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION - +$40,000 NBA RUN CONTINUES!
(NBA) New York vs. Brooklyn,
01/13/2016 2:30 PM, Score: 104 - 110
Point Spread: 5.00 | -105.00 Brooklyn (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 5.00 | -105.00 Brooklyn (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Scheduling: No need to overanalyze this angle, the Nets have had a day off to prepare, while the Knicks come in off a hard-fought 120-114 win over the Celtics just last night. Advantage Brooklyn.
Desperation breeds motivation: The Nets have lost ten straight at home.
Carmelo Anthony status: Anthony suffered a sprained right ankle in last night's win, his status is uncertain for this evening and if he does happen to play, clearly he won't be functioning at 100% capacity (It's hard to imagine the Knicks playing their super-star in the second game of a back-to-back vs. the lowly Nets though if he is in fact injured even in the slightest).
Revenge factor: Anthony played a key part in his team's 108-91 home win vs. Brooklyn on December 4th, scoring 28.
ATS statistics: Note that New York is just 6-7 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Brooklyn is 8-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: Off a big win just last night, a victory which likely cost them the services of their best player for a while and facing a desperate and revenge minded home side, all signs do indeed point to a classic letdown spot for the visitors; grab as many points as you can with the NETS.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Scheduling: No need to overanalyze this angle, the Nets have had a day off to prepare, while the Knicks come in off a hard-fought 120-114 win over the Celtics just last night. Advantage Brooklyn.
Desperation breeds motivation: The Nets have lost ten straight at home.
Carmelo Anthony status: Anthony suffered a sprained right ankle in last night's win, his status is uncertain for this evening and if he does happen to play, clearly he won't be functioning at 100% capacity (It's hard to imagine the Knicks playing their super-star in the second game of a back-to-back vs. the lowly Nets though if he is in fact injured even in the slightest).
Revenge factor: Anthony played a key part in his team's 108-91 home win vs. Brooklyn on December 4th, scoring 28.
ATS statistics: Note that New York is just 6-7 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Brooklyn is 8-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: Off a big win just last night, a victory which likely cost them the services of their best player for a while and facing a desperate and revenge minded home side, all signs do indeed point to a classic letdown spot for the visitors; grab as many points as you can with the NETS.
AAA Sports
