PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *BATTLE OF OKLAHOMA!* (Ok/OKS)
(NCAAB) Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State,
01/13/2016 4:00 PM, Score: 74 - 72
Point Spread: 8.50 | -102.00 Oklahoma State (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 8.50 | -102.00 Oklahoma State (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on OKLAHOMA STATE.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic look ahead spot: Oklahoma is 13-1, it bounced back off its first loss of the year by beating Kansas State last time out. Oklahoma State is 9-6, the Cowboys have lost their last two games. It's definitely not too hard to imagine the Sooners getting caught "looking ahead" to their game vs. West Virginia on Saturday, the Mountaineers currently lead the Big 12 standings at 15-1.
Revenge: The last time these teams met, Oklahoma pulled away in the second half of a 64-49 win and cover on March 12th, 2015.
ATS statistics: Note that Oklahoma is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-2 ATS vs. the conference, while OKS is 19-12 ATS in its last 31 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Two strong situational factors are backed by a bunch of strong ATS trends, in our opinion this is a few too many points to be giving up in this spot, grab as many as you can with OKLAHOMA STATE.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic look ahead spot: Oklahoma is 13-1, it bounced back off its first loss of the year by beating Kansas State last time out. Oklahoma State is 9-6, the Cowboys have lost their last two games. It's definitely not too hard to imagine the Sooners getting caught "looking ahead" to their game vs. West Virginia on Saturday, the Mountaineers currently lead the Big 12 standings at 15-1.
Revenge: The last time these teams met, Oklahoma pulled away in the second half of a 64-49 win and cover on March 12th, 2015.
ATS statistics: Note that Oklahoma is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-2 ATS vs. the conference, while OKS is 19-12 ATS in its last 31 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Two strong situational factors are backed by a bunch of strong ATS trends, in our opinion this is a few too many points to be giving up in this spot, grab as many as you can with OKLAHOMA STATE.
AAA Sports
