PREMIUM
AAA's 10* TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" - +$40,000 NBA RUN CONTINUES!
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Sacramento,
01/13/2016 5:00 PM, Score: 109 - 97
Total: 214.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 214.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Pelicans missing star Anthony Davis: New Orleans will likely once again be without the services of Davis, who has missed the last two with a bruised back. Fatigue will also be a factor for the visitors, who come in off a loss to the Lakers just last night (note, even with Davis in the lineup, the Pelicans are just 1-7 in the second game of back-to-backs this season).
Look ahead spot?: Sacramento sits two games back of Utah for eighth place in the West, and the two teams meet tomorrow night in Salt Lake City.
Over/Under ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of eight when playing on back-to-back days and in three of its last five off an upset loss as a favorite, while Sacramento has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 18 this year after scoring 105 points or more and in both games that it's played with three or more days of rest.
The bottom line: A ton of different situational factors collide with some extremely strong trends, which indeed all do point to the UNDER as being the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Pelicans missing star Anthony Davis: New Orleans will likely once again be without the services of Davis, who has missed the last two with a bruised back. Fatigue will also be a factor for the visitors, who come in off a loss to the Lakers just last night (note, even with Davis in the lineup, the Pelicans are just 1-7 in the second game of back-to-backs this season).
Look ahead spot?: Sacramento sits two games back of Utah for eighth place in the West, and the two teams meet tomorrow night in Salt Lake City.
Over/Under ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of eight when playing on back-to-back days and in three of its last five off an upset loss as a favorite, while Sacramento has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 18 this year after scoring 105 points or more and in both games that it's played with three or more days of rest.
The bottom line: A ton of different situational factors collide with some extremely strong trends, which indeed all do point to the UNDER as being the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
