PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *LIVE FROM ENGLAND* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER - OFF 3-0 NBA SWEEP!
(NBA) Toronto vs. Orlando,
01/14/2016 10:00 AM, Score: 106 - 103
Total: 193.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 193.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Toronto Raptors and the Orlando Magic.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
From a situational standpoint: …we think this one sets up perfectly: both teams have had a few days off, each has been distracted by the travel, the jet-lag, the media and all of the other "off court" things that go on in trying to play in an international event like this. We simply can't see how all of these different things won't translate into some sluggishness on the court today for both sides.
Recent history: These teams played on November 6th and Orlando would snap an 11-game losing streak to Toronto and end the Raptors' franchise-best 5-0 start with the 92-87 victory. We expect a similarly hard-fought, lower-scoring battle today.
ATS statistics: Note that Toronto has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 when playing with three or more days of rest and in six of its last seven after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Orlando has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last eight after allowing 105 points or more and in seven of its last 12 when playing with three or more days rest.
The bottom line: Three strong factors all do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
From a situational standpoint: …we think this one sets up perfectly: both teams have had a few days off, each has been distracted by the travel, the jet-lag, the media and all of the other "off court" things that go on in trying to play in an international event like this. We simply can't see how all of these different things won't translate into some sluggishness on the court today for both sides.
Recent history: These teams played on November 6th and Orlando would snap an 11-game losing streak to Toronto and end the Raptors' franchise-best 5-0 start with the 92-87 victory. We expect a similarly hard-fought, lower-scoring battle today.
ATS statistics: Note that Toronto has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 12 when playing with three or more days of rest and in six of its last seven after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Orlando has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last eight after allowing 105 points or more and in seven of its last 12 when playing with three or more days rest.
The bottom line: Three strong factors all do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
