(90%) 9 OUT OF 10 NBA TOTAL CONSENSUS (+$7K!)
(NBA) LA Lakers vs. Denver, 05/18/2023 8:30 PM, Score: 103 - 108
Total: 227.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Lakers/Nuggets.

Denver looked good in its 132-126 win over the Lakers in Game 1. Some won, some pushed and some lost against the closing line on the spread, but obviously the total sailed well "over" the number of 222.5. Now the expectations are here in Game 2 that we'll see another shootout, but we're thinking the opposite here in fact. Tonight's total is almost five points higher than the Game 1 total, so that's significant. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments, and the Lakers will be doubling down defensively here in Game 2, after Denver's frantic pace to open Game 1. LA has also seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss agianst an opponent. Denver only averages 115.8 points per game, which is middle of the pack, whiel allowing 112.5, which ranks eighth. The Lakers have now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is also significant to note, as LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. LA averages 117.2 points per game, while allowing 116.8, but thoe averages dip for the Lakers when they're on the road. The Lakers are 22-26 on the road, while the Nuggets are 41-7 at home. The two big men, Nikola Jokic and Anthony Davis were huge for both teams in Game 1. Look for more of the same here in Game 2 obviously, with each team running its offense through its big man. But with that said, we're expecting a more methodical pace here in Game 2, a more defensive affair all around for sure, and because of that we're taking advantage of what we feel is a now overinflated line because of the high-scoring shootout in Game 1. This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, TIR