Thursday Night NCAA Tournament Closer
(NCAAB) Saint Peter's vs. Tennessee, 03/21/2024 9:20 PM, Score: 49 - 83
Point Spread: -21.50 | -104.00 Tennessee (Home)
Result: Win
St. Peter’s vs. Tennessee 9:20 PM ET
Game# 727-728
Play On: Tennessee -21.5

St. Peter’s is a terrible offensive team that hangs their hat on their defensive prowess. Even then their defensive analytics are a bit misleading when considering the snail’s pace they play at. The Peacocks are #338 nationally when it comes to offensive tempo. That’s fine if you are playing with a lead, but it’s highly improbable that’ll be the case against one of the country’s best teams on Thursday.

I mentioned how bad St. Peter’s is offensively. Well, Tennessee is #3 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Volunteers have also faced an extremely tougher schedule than their opponent on Thursday and has a ton more experience. I look for Tennessee to excel at forcing St. Peter’s turnovers in this contest and turning them into a sizable number of points via their transition game. St. Peter’s ranks #324 nationally in committing turnovers while doing so on an alarmingly high 19.6% of their offensive possessions. Give me Tennessee minus points.