Since 2022, NBA Postseason Record: 86-52 (62%)
(NBA) New Orleans vs. Oklahoma City, 04/24/2024 9:30 PM, Score: 92 - 124
Point Spread: -7.50 | -106.00 Oklahoma City (Home)
Result: Win
Pelicans @ Thunder 9:30 PM ET
Game# 519-520
Play On: Thunder -7.5

I know how good New Orleans has been on the road this season. However, this will be their second straight home game without star power forward Zion Williamson (hamstring) and I firmly believe his absence will be sorely misses tonight.

The Thunder won the opening game of this series and was held to less than 100 points scored for only a 4th time this season. OKC is 3-0 SU&ATS this season immediately following a game in which they scored less than 100 and there was an average victory margin of 11.7 points per contest. We must also keep in mind; this is still an extremely young OKC team despite them being the #1 seed in the Western Conference. Their nervousness in Game 1 was very apparent while they made uncharacteristic careless errors and also shot poorly. They’ll be significantly better in Game 2. Especially so on their home court where they’ve gone 34-8 SU and 27-15 ATS this season with a huge point per game differential of +12.7. Furthermore, OKC is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS this season as a favorite of between 6.0 and 13.0 immediately following a contest in which they allowed less than 100 points, and they outscored their opponents by an average of 16.5 points per game. Give me the Thunder minus points.